Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
England
Premier League Round 11
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (11%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- BournemouthWWWWWScored in 9 matches in a row
- Nottingham ForestWLDLL
- Premier LeagueNottingham Forest1 - 1Bournemouth
- Premier LeagueBournemouth2 - 0Nottingham Forest
- Premier LeagueBournemouth5 - 0Nottingham Forest
- Per match
- Corners won6.3·5.6
- Yellow cards2.6·2.2
Premier League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City | 10 | -9 | 9 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest meet on in Premier League.
Venue: Vitality Stadium.
In our records Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest have met 4 times: Bournemouth won 2, 2 ended level and Nottingham Forest won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Bournemouth 1.6 – 1.1 Nottingham Forest. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54% of the simulated matches. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 21%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Bournemouth: the stronger side on our resultsBOstrong
- Bournemouth: home advantage in this competitionBOstrong
- Bournemouth: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedBOstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Bournemouth.
Why it matters: Bournemouth are chasing the Champions League places.
Preview
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: preview
Bournemouth have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Bournemouth have scored in 9 matches in a row. 7 of Bournemouth's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Nottingham Forest have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
In their last 4 meetings, Bournemouth won 2, 2 ended level and Nottingham Forest won 0. Bournemouth are in position 7 with 15 points, Nottingham Forest in position 16 with 9 points. A win could lift Bournemouth as high as position 4. A win could lift Nottingham Forest as high as position 11.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Champions League places.
- A win can lift them as high as 11.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 17.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
