Aston Villa vs Sunderland (Premier League) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
England
Premier League Round 11
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (10%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Aston VillaDLDLWNo win in 4 matches
- SunderlandWLLWD
- Premier LeagueAston Villa4 - 3Sunderland
- Premier LeagueSunderland1 - 1Aston Villa
- ChampionshipSunderland0 - 3Aston Villa
- Per match
- Corners won5.1·4.4
- Yellow cards2.0·1.9
Premier League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Leeds United | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Aston Villa and Sunderland meet on in Premier League.
Venue: Villa Park.
In our records Aston Villa and Sunderland have met 10 times: Aston Villa won 5, 4 ended level and Sunderland won 1.
Their latest meeting (): Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Aston Villa 1.8 – 1.0 Sunderland. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54% of the simulated matches. About 9.6 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Aston Villa: the stronger side on our resultsAVstrong
- Aston Villa: home advantage in this competitionAVstrong
- Sunderland: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedSUstrong
- Aston Villa: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedAVstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Aston Villa.
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Sunderland.
Preview
Aston Villa vs Sunderland: preview
Aston Villa have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Aston Villa have not won in 4 matches. 8 of Aston Villa's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Sunderland have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Sunderland's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5.
In their last 10 meetings, Aston Villa won 5, 4 ended level and Sunderland won 1. Aston Villa are in position 10 with 13 points, Sunderland in position 19 with 8 points. A win could lift Aston Villa as high as position 5. A win could lift Sunderland as high as position 13.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Europa League places.
- A win can lift them out of the danger zone (Relegation).
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
