AC Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: the story of the match
35' — AC Sparta Praha took the lead: 1-0. Ebrima Singhateh scored it. 37' — Tobias Guddal of AC Sparta Praha was sent off. Half time: 1-0.
57' — Bournemouth equalised: 1-1. Tyler Adams scored it. 81' — Bournemouth completed the turnaround: 1-2. Evanilson scored it. 90' — Bournemouth extended the lead: 1-3. Rayan scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Bournemouth won 1-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AC Sparta PrahaDrawBournemouth
Pre-match model estimate: AC Sparta Praha 19%, draw 20%, Bournemouth 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AC Sparta Praha win in 19% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Bournemouth win 61%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-2 (9%); both teams score in 62%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AC Sparta Praha took the lead in the 35th minute: Ebrima Singhateh, set up by Jakub Surovcik. AC Sparta Praha had a player sent off on 37 minutes: Tobias Guddal. AC Sparta Praha led 1-0 at the break.
Bournemouth drew level at 1-1 on 57 minutes thanks to Tyler Adams. Bournemouth completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 81st minute: Evanilson, set up by Ryan Christie. Bournemouth extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: Rayan, set up by Evanilson.
Match statistics
On target it was 3-10, from 4 and 12 attempts respectively. AC Sparta Praha won 3 corners, Bournemouth 10. Bournemouth produced 62 dangerous attacks to AC Sparta Praha's 40.
What it means
AC Sparta Praha drop from 16th to 22nd on 4 points. The result lifts Bournemouth to 2nd with 12 points, up from 3rd. Bournemouth have now won 7 in a row.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
