Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
80' — Arsenal took the lead: 0-1. Noni Madueke scored it. Arsenal won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Nottingham ForestDrawArsenal
Pre-match model estimate: Nottingham Forest 19%, draw 32%, Arsenal 49%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nottingham Forest had 10 shots (2 on target) to Arsenal's 4 (1). Nottingham Forest won 8 corners, Arsenal 6. Arsenal produced 79 dangerous attacks to Nottingham Forest's 38.
What’s next
Nottingham Forest visit Brentford next, on 31 October in the Premier League. Next up for Arsenal: away at Liverpool on Sunday 1 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
