This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Nottingham Forest took the lead on 3 minutes thanks to Dan Ndoye. Crystal Palace drew level at 1-1 on 41 minutes thanks to Daichi Kamada, set up by Quinten Timber. Just 4 minutes later (45') Crystal Palace completed the turnaround at 2-1. Crystal Palace led 2-1 at the break.
Yéremy Pino made it 3-1 for Crystal Palace after 59 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 9-18, 6-7 on target. Crystal Palace won 5 corners, Nottingham Forest 8. Nottingham Forest produced 68 dangerous attacks to Crystal Palace's 44.
The bigger picture
It is Crystal Palace's first win over Nottingham Forest in the last 9 meetings on record.
What’s next
Crystal Palace visit Fulham next, on 28 October. Next up for Nottingham Forest: away at Brentford on Saturday 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
