Jamaica vs Mexico kick-off time: 15/11/2026 01:00
CONCACAF Nations League
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- JamaicaDWLWL
- MexicoLLDDLNo win in 5 matches
Recent meetings
More- Copa AmericaMexico1 - 0Jamaica
- CONCACAF Gold CupJamaica0 - 3Mexico
- CONCACAF Nations LeagueMexico2 - 2Jamaica
CONCACAF Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guatemala | 4 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Suriname | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 | Honduras | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Martinique | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -6 | 4 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Jamaica and Mexico meet on in CONCACAF Nations League.
Venue: Independence Park.
In our records Jamaica and Mexico have met 7 times: Jamaica won 0, 2 ended level and Mexico won 5.
Their latest meeting (): Mexico 1-0 Jamaica.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Jamaica (43%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Jamaica vs Mexico: preview
Jamaica have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 2 of Jamaica's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Mexico have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Mexico have not won in 5 matches. 3 of Mexico's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
In their last 7 meetings, Jamaica won 0, 2 ended level and Mexico won 5.
Our pre-match model estimate: Jamaica 43%, draw 31%, Mexico 26%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Jamaica win in 43% of the simulated matches, 31% end level and Mexico win 26%. Average goals 1.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (16%); both teams score in 37%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
