One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
Faroe IslandsKick-off0-0Moldova
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Faroe Islands 1.6 – 0.8 Moldova. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Both teams score in 44% of the simulated matches. About 9.9 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
Faroe IslandsMoldova
Faroe Islands: the stronger side on our resultsFIstrong
Faroe Islands: home advantage in this competitionFIstrong
Also considered
Faroe Islands: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
Moldova: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Faroe Islands.
Table by result
Faroe Islands3
A win lifts them to 2.
Win2Draw3Loss3
Moldova2
A defeat drops them to 3.
Win2Draw2Loss3
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Moldova arrive 2nd in the standings on 7 points; the Faroe Islands are 3rd with 5 points. The Faroe Islands and Moldova both start the day in the top four, 2 points apart.
Recent form
Faroe IslandsDDDDDMoldovaWLWDL
The Faroe Islands are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 5 draws. 6 games without defeat for the Faroe Islands. The Faroe Islands' recent home record reads 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Across 10 matches, the Faroe Islands have scored 1.2 and let in 1.2 goals per match on average.
Over the last 5 matches, Moldova have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Their most recent game was a 2-1 win over Kazakhstan for Moldova. Moldova's recent away record reads 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Goals have flowed in Moldova's games: 6 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Previous meetings
The Faroe Islands and Moldova have met 5 times in our records: 1 win for the Faroe Islands, 1 for Moldova and 3 draws. The last meeting, in 2026 in the UEFA Nations League, finished 1-1. Moldova are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings with the Faroe Islands.
UEFA Nations League
