Moldova vs Kazakhstan kick-off time: 13/11/2026 17:00
UEFA Nations League
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- MoldovaLWDLD
- KazakhstanDLLDLScored in 8 matches in a row
UEFA Nations League
MoreLine-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Moldova and Kazakhstan meet on in UEFA Nations League.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Moldova vs Kazakhstan: preview
Moldova have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 5 of Moldova's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Kazakhstan have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Kazakhstan have scored in 8 matches in a row. 4 of Kazakhstan's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
Our pre-match model estimate: Moldova 35%, draw 29%, Kazakhstan 36%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Moldova win in 35% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Kazakhstan win 36%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 45%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
