FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht: the story of the match
10' — FC Den Bosch took the lead: 1-0. Sebastian Karlsson Grach scored it. Half time: 1-0.
54' — MVV Maastricht equalised: 1-1. Robert Klaasen scored it. 62' — FC Den Bosch went back in front: 2-1. Ilias Boumassaoudi scored it. 79' — MVV Maastricht equalised: 2-2. Finn Dicke scored it. 80' — Pepijn Van De Merbel of FC Den Bosch was sent off. The match ended 2-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC Den BoschDrawMVV Maastricht
Pre-match model estimate: FC Den Bosch 61%, draw 20%, MVV Maastricht 19%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Den Bosch win in 61% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and MVV Maastricht win 19%. Average goals 3.5; the most likely score is 2-1 (10%); both teams score in 63%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
FC Den Bosch took the lead in the 10th minute: Sebastian Karlsson Grach. It was FC Den Bosch 1-0 MVV Maastricht at half-time.
MVV Maastricht drew level at 1-1 on 54 minutes thanks to Robert Klaasen. FC Den Bosch went 2-1 up on 62 minutes thanks to Ilias Boumassaoudi. MVV Maastricht drew level at 2-2 on 79 minutes thanks to Finn Dicke. Pepijn Van De Merbel saw a straight red card in the 80th minute, leaving FC Den Bosch short-handed.
Match statistics
On target it was 3-2, from 4 and 2 attempts respectively. Corners finished 9-3. Dangerous attacks: 191 for FC Den Bosch, 128 for MVV Maastricht.
What the result means
FC Den Bosch slip to 13th (15 points), having started the day 12th. MVV Maastricht drop from 9th to 10th on 17 points. FC Den Bosch are now unbeaten in 4 matches. 3 defeats in a row come to an end for MVV Maastricht. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for FC Den Bosch, 5 wins for MVV Maastricht and 3 draws.
What’s next
FC Den Bosch's next match is away to Emmen on 1 November. MVV Maastricht host SBV Excelsior next, on 28 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
