FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV Eindhoven: the story of the match
11' — Jong PSV Eindhoven took the lead: 0-1. Samuel Chukwuebuka Dumbili scored it. 32' — FC Eindhoven equalised: 1-1. Rayan Buifrahi scored it. Half time: 1-1.
76' — Jong PSV Eindhoven went back in front: 1-2. Austyn Jones scored from the penalty spot. Jong PSV Eindhoven won 1-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
FC EindhovenDrawJong PSV Eindhoven
Pre-match model estimate: FC Eindhoven 46%, draw 22%, Jong PSV Eindhoven 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): FC Eindhoven win in 46% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Jong PSV Eindhoven win 32%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 66%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jong PSV Eindhoven took the lead on 11 minutes thanks to Samuel Chukwuebuka Dumbili. FC Eindhoven drew level at 1-1 on 32 minutes thanks to Rayan Buifrahi. Half-time: 1-1 between FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV Eindhoven.
Jong PSV Eindhoven went 2-1 up on 76 minutes thanks to Austyn Jones from the penalty spot.
The statistics
FC Eindhoven won 7 corners, Jong PSV Eindhoven 5. FC Eindhoven produced 287 dangerous attacks to Jong PSV Eindhoven's 119.
The bigger picture
FC Eindhoven drop from 15th to 17th on 11 points. The result lifts Jong PSV Eindhoven to 12th with 16 points, up from 13th. FC Eindhoven have now gone 5 matches without a win. Jong PSV Eindhoven end a run of 5 matches without a win.
Coming up
FC Eindhoven's next match is away to Helmond Sport on 30 October. Jong PSV Eindhoven host NAC Breda next, on 2 November in the Eerste Divisie.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
