Almere City FC vs Roda JC Kerkrade: the story of the match
5' — Almere City FC took the lead: 1-0. Hamza El Dahri scored it. Half time: 1-0.
52' — Almere City FC extended the lead: 2-0. Jamie Jacobs scored it. 55' — Roda JC Kerkrade pulled one back: 2-1. Anthony van der Hurk scored it. 61' — Roda JC Kerkrade equalised: 2-2. Anthony van der Hurk scored it. 75' — Roda JC Kerkrade completed the turnaround: 2-3. Anthony van der Hurk scored it. Roda JC Kerkrade won 2-3.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Almere City FCDrawRoda JC Kerkrade
Pre-match model estimate: Almere City FC 51%, draw 23%, Roda JC Kerkrade 26%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Almere City FC win in 51% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Roda JC Kerkrade win 26%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 60%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Almere City FC took the lead on 5 minutes thanks to Hamza El Dahri. Almere City FC led 1-0 at the break.
Almere City FC extended their lead to 2-0 on 52 minutes thanks to Jamie Jacobs. Anthony van der Hurk reduced the deficit for Roda JC Kerkrade to 2-1 after 55 minutes. Roda JC Kerkrade drew level at 2-2 on 61 minutes thanks to Anthony van der Hurk. Roda JC Kerkrade completed the turnaround at 3-2 in the 75th minute: Anthony van der Hurk.
Match statistics
Almere City FC won 3 corners, Roda JC Kerkrade 14.
What it means
Almere City FC drop from 2nd to 4th on 22 points. The result lifts Roda JC Kerkrade to 5th with 22 points, up from 6th. Almere City FC have now scored in 7 consecutive matches.
Next fixtures
Next up for Almere City FC: away at Waalwijk on Friday 30 October. Roda JC Kerkrade's next match is at home against Jong AZ Alkmaar on 30 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
