TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax Amsterdam: the story of the match
28' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam took the lead: 0-1. Leo Salazar Hinojosa scored it. 42' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam extended the lead: 0-2. Emre Ünüvar scored it. Half time: 0-2.
54' — TOP Oss pulled one back: 1-2. Andy Visser scored it. 71' — TOP Oss equalised: 2-2. Maxim Mariani scored it. 75' — TOP Oss completed the turnaround: 3-2. Andy Visser scored it. 90' — Jong Ajax Amsterdam equalised: 3-3. Abdoulaye Camara scored it. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 3-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
TOP OssDrawJong Ajax Amsterdam
Pre-match model estimate: TOP Oss 49%, draw 22%, Jong Ajax Amsterdam 29%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): TOP Oss win in 49% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Jong Ajax Amsterdam win 29%. Average goals 3.4; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 66%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Jong Ajax Amsterdam took the lead in the 28th minute: Leo Salazar Hinojosa. Jong Ajax Amsterdam extended their lead to 2-0 on 42 minutes thanks to Emre Ünüvar. It was TOP Oss 0-2 Jong Ajax Amsterdam at half-time.
TOP Oss pulled one back to make it 1-2 in the 54th minute: Andy Visser. TOP Oss drew level at 2-2 in the 71st minute: Maxim Mariani. Just 4 minutes later (75') TOP Oss completed the turnaround at 3-2, Andy Visser on target. Abdoulaye Camara equalised for Jong Ajax Amsterdam at 3-3 after 90 minutes.
What the numbers say
TOP Oss won 4 corners, Jong Ajax Amsterdam 3. Jong Ajax Amsterdam produced 109 dangerous attacks to TOP Oss' 87.
The bigger picture
TOP Oss have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Across 11 meetings in our records: 4 wins for TOP Oss, 2 wins for Jong Ajax Amsterdam and 5 draws.
Coming up
TOP Oss' next match is away to De Graafschap on 14 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
