61' — Emmen took the lead: 0-1. Jack Cooper Love scored it. 90' — Emmen extended the lead: 0-2. It came in the closing minutes. Emmen won 0-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Vitesse ArnhemDrawEmmen
Pre-match model estimate: Vitesse Arnhem 42%, draw 23%, Emmen 35%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Vitesse Arnhem win in 42% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Emmen win 35%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 65%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Vitesse Arnhem – Emmen match report
Updated:
Emmen beat Vitesse Arnhem2-0 without conceding at GelreDome. It was 0-0 at half-time.
The story of the match
It was Vitesse Arnhem 0-0 Emmen at half-time.
Emmen took the lead in the 61st minute: Jack Cooper Love. Emmen extended their lead to 2-0 on 90 minutes.
The statistics
The shot count read 5-4, 3-4 on target. Corners finished 9-7. Dangerous attacks: 228 for Emmen, 193 for Vitesse Arnhem.
The bigger picture
Vitesse Arnhem slip to 9th (17 points), having started the day 7th. Emmen climb from 4th to 3rd on 25 points. Emmen are now unbeaten in 5 matches. Emmen beat Vitesse Arnhem for the first time since 2019.
What’s next
Next up for Vitesse Arnhem: away at VVV-Venlo on Wednesday 28 October. Emmen's next match is away to Groningen on 29 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Eerste Divisie
