We had a SBV Excelsior win as the most likely outcome.
✓ SBV Excelsior 68%✗ Most likely score 0-2
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: SBV Excelsior won 0-3.
Story
MVV Maastricht vs SBV Excelsior: the story of the match
15' — SBV Excelsior took the lead: 0-1. Irakli Yegoian scored it. Half time: 0-1.
60' — SBV Excelsior extended the lead: 0-2. Irakli Yegoian scored from the penalty spot. 89' — SBV Excelsior extended the lead: 0-3. Aymen Sliti scored it. It came in the closing minutes. SBV Excelsior won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): MVV Maastricht win in 14% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and SBV Excelsior win 68%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 0-2 (10%); both teams score in 56%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
SBV Excelsior took the lead on 15 minutes thanks to Irakli Yegoian. SBV Excelsior led 1-0 at the break.
SBV Excelsior extended their lead to 2-0 in the 60th minute with Irakli Yegoian from the penalty spot. SBV Excelsior extended their lead to 3-0 in the 89th minute through Aymen Sliti.
What the numbers say
On target it was 6-5, from 10 and 6 attempts respectively. By our xG model, MVV Maastricht's chances were worth 1.26 goals and SBV Excelsior's 0.48. Corners finished 6-1.
What it means
MVV Maastricht have now gone 5 matches without a win. SBV Excelsior end a run of 6 matches without a win.
Next fixtures
MVV Maastricht host Vitesse Arnhem next, on 15 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
