Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
CD CovadongaKick-off0-0Astur CF
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals CD Covadonga 2.6 – 0.6 Astur CF. Most frequent scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 41% of the simulated matches. About 9.3 corners on average. About 5.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
CD CovadongaAstur CF
CD Covadonga: the stronger side on our resultsCOstrong
CD Covadonga: home advantage in this competitionCOstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Over the last 5 matches, CD Covadonga have collected 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. CD Covadonga come into this game 7 days after a 3-2 win over Andes CF in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2. CD Covadonga's recent home record reads 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 3. Goals have flowed in CD Covadonga's games: 7 of the last 10 produced at least three.
Astur CF have not won any of their last 5 matches (4 draws and 1 defeat). Astur CF are winless in 11. Astur CF's recent away record reads 3 draws and 2 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Across 10 matches, Astur CF have scored 0.9 and let in 1.5 goals per match on average.
Live on ScoreMondo
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This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
