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Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
CD Ibiza Islas PitiusasKick-off0-0CE Mercadal
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 2.5 – 0.6 CE Mercadal. Most frequent scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Both teams score in 38% of the simulated matches. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
CD Ibiza Islas PitiusasCE Mercadal
CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: the stronger side on our resultsIIstrong
CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: home advantage in this competitionIIstrong
Also considered
CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: last match 4 days ago (short rest)
CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas: 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas are unbeaten in their last 5 matches: 3 wins and 2 draws. 10 games without defeat for CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas. At home, CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 7-1. CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
Over the last 5 matches, CE Mercadal have collected 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. CE Mercadal are winless in 3. CE Mercadal's recent away record reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Across 10 matches, CE Mercadal have scored 1.0 and let in 1.7 goals per match on average.
Rest could be a factor: CD Ibiza Islas Pitiusas last played 4 days ago, CE Mercadal 8 days ago.
Live on ScoreMondo
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This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.