Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: 1-1.
Story
CD Covadonga vs Condal Club: the story of the match
26' — Condal Club took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
50' — Condal Club had a player sent off. 86' — CD Covadonga equalised: 1-1. It came in the closing minutes. The match ended 1-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD CovadongaDrawCondal Club
Pre-match model estimate: CD Covadonga 70%, draw 20%, Condal Club 10%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Covadonga win in 70% of the simulated matches, 20% end level and Condal Club win 10%. Average goals 2.6; the most likely score is 2-0 (15%); both teams score in 40%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Condal Club took the lead on 26 minutes. Condal Club led 1-0 at the break.
Condal Club were a man down from the 50th minute. The officials disallowed a CD Covadonga goal on 72 minutes. Late on, in the 86th minute, CD Covadonga drew level at 1-1.
The statistics
Corners finished 6-7. Condal Club's goalkeeper made 6 saves. Dangerous attacks: 169 for CD Covadonga, 104 for Condal Club.
What it means
Condal Club are now unbeaten in 9 matches. Across 3 meetings in our records: 2 wins for CD Covadonga and 1 draw.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
