Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
CD LealtadKick-off0-0CD Mosconia
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals CD Lealtad 1.4 – 1.0 CD Mosconia. Most frequent scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (9%). Both teams score in 46% of the simulated matches. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
CD LealtadCD Mosconia
CD Lealtad: the stronger side on our resultsLEstrong
CD Lealtad: home advantage in this competitionLEstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
CD Lealtad have 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 0. CD Lealtad are unbeaten in 6 matches. CD Lealtad's recent home record reads 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. 6 of CD Lealtad's last 10 matches ended without a goal conceded.
Over the last 5 matches, CD Mosconia have collected 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. CD Mosconia have scored in each of their last 3 matches. On the road, CD Mosconia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 7-10. CD Mosconia average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last 10.
The history between them
The record between them over the last 2 matches reads 2-0-0 from CD Lealtad's point of view. When they last met, on 4 May 2025, CD Lealtad won 1-0.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
