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Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
One of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
AD Torrejon CFKick-off0-0Rayo Vallecano B
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals AD Torrejon CF 1.7 – 1.2 Rayo Vallecano B. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Both teams score in 57% of the simulated matches. About 9.2 corners on average. About 5.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 29%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
AD Torrejon CFRayo Vallecano B
AD Torrejon CF: the stronger side on our resultsATstrong
AD Torrejon CF: home advantage in this competitionATstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AD Torrejon CF come into it with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 matches. AD Torrejon CF were held 2-2 by Las Rozas CF in their latest outing. At home, AD Torrejon CF have 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, with a goal tally of 13-2. Across 10 matches, AD Torrejon CF have scored 1.7 and let in 1.0 goals per match on average.
Rayo Vallecano B have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Rayo Vallecano B have found the net in 9 straight games. Rayo Vallecano B are still waiting for a win on their travels: 2 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 away games. Rayo Vallecano B average 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game over their last 10.
Head to head
AD Torrejon CF and Rayo Vallecano B have met 4 times in our records: 1 win for AD Torrejon CF, 1 for Rayo Vallecano B and 2 draws. The last meeting, in 2025, went 3-2 to Rayo Vallecano B. Rayo Vallecano B are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings with AD Torrejon CF.
Live on ScoreMondo
Follow AD Torrejon CF v Rayo Vallecano B live on ScoreMondo: the live score, the line-ups, the statistics and every key event as it happens.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
