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Pressure minute by minute, from attacks, dangerous attacks, shots and corners.
Astur CF and UC Ceares are playing now in Tercera Federacion, Group 12; the score is 0-0.
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards. Match in progress — new decisions appear here.
Last update:
Live data; the result is verified after full time.
Astur CF are pressing: pressure index 53 over the last 5 minutes.
Model estimate
Pre-match model estimate: Astur CF 38%, draw 28%, UC Ceares 34%.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
From 0 to 100 per team: a weighted total per minute — shot on target ×5, shot off target or blocked ×3, corner ×2, dangerous attack ×1. An ordinary minute reads about 50; a long spell of heavy pressure reads above 85.
UC Ceares started on the front foot and controlled the first 11 minutes. UC Ceares have pressed harder over the last 15 minutes: pressure index 55 against 33. Our model right now: Astur CF 29%, draw 29%, UC Ceares 42%.
What the pre-match simulation said
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Astur CF win in 38% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and UC Ceares win 34%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 49%. About 9.1 corners on average. About 5.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
ScoreMondo · Last update:
Astur CF 0-0 UC Ceares, in progress. UC Ceares have had the upper hand over the last 15 minutes, with a pressure index of 55 to 33.
UC Ceares started on the front foot, pressing for the first 11 minutes.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
