Elversberg vs Freiburg (Bundesliga) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
Germany
Bundesliga Round 10
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-2 (9%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- SV ElversbergLWLLW
- FreiburgWWWWLScored in 5 matches in a row
- DFB PokalSV Elversberg0 - 2Freiburg
- Per match
- Corners won7.0·5.4
- Yellow cards1.2·2.0
Bundesliga
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 9 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 0 | 12 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
SV Elversberg and Freiburg meet on in Bundesliga.
Venue: URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals SV Elversberg 1.4 – 1.9 Freiburg. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Both teams score in 63% of the simulated matches. About 10.2 corners on average. About 3.9 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Freiburg: the stronger side on our resultsFRstrong
- SV Elversberg: home advantage in this competitionSEstrong
- Freiburg: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedFRstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Freiburg.
Why it matters: A win could put Freiburg top of the table.
Preview
SV Elversberg vs Freiburg: preview
SV Elversberg have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 7 of SV Elversberg's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Freiburg have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Freiburg have scored in 5 matches in a row. 8 of Freiburg's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
SV Elversberg are in position 7 with 13 points, Freiburg in position 3 with 19 points. A win could lift SV Elversberg as high as position 5. A win could lift Freiburg as high as position 1.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Europa League places.
- A win takes them top.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
