RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
48' — RB Leipzig took the lead: 1-0. Tidiam Gomis scored it. 66' — RB Leipzig extended the lead: 2-0. Rômulo scored it. 84' — RB Leipzig extended the lead: 3-0. Christoph Baumgartner scored it. 90' — RB Leipzig extended the lead: 4-0. It came in the closing minutes. RB Leipzig won 4-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): RB Leipzig win in 62% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and SV Elversberg win 20%. Average goals 3.8; the most likely score is 2-1 (9%); both teams score in 67%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg match report
Updated:
A 4-0 rout: RB Leipzig swept SV Elversberg aside at Red Bull Arena. The half-time score was 0-0.
The story of the match
The first half ended 0-0.
RB Leipzig took the lead in the 48th minute: Tidiam Gomis, set up by Antonio Nusa. Rômulo made it 2-0 for RB Leipzig after 66 minutes, set up by Antonio Nusa. RB Leipzig extended their lead to 3-0 on 84 minutes thanks to Christoph Baumgartner, set up by Brajan Gruda. Late on, in the 90th minute, RB Leipzig extended their lead to 4-0.
The statistics
On target it was 6-1, from 7 and 2 attempts respectively. RB Leipzig won 4 corners, SV Elversberg 6.
What it means
The result lifts RB Leipzig to 5th with 12 points, up from 7th. SV Elversberg drop from 6th to 8th on 10 points. RB Leipzig have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. It is RB Leipzig's first win against SV Elversberg since 2014.
Bundesliga
