Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn (Bundesliga) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
Germany
Bundesliga Round 10
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 2-0 (9%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Bayer 04 LeverkusenWLLWL
- Paderborn 07WDDLWUnbeaten in 3 matches
- DFB PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen3 - 1Paderborn 07
- BundesligaPaderborn 071 - 4Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- DFB PokalBayer 04 Leverkusen1 - 0Paderborn 07
- Per match
- Corners won6.9·4.8
- Yellow cards2.4·1.3
Bundesliga
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Paderborn 07 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Paderborn 07 meet on in Bundesliga.
Venue: BayArena.
In our records Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Paderborn 07 have met 6 times: Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 5, 1 ended level and Paderborn 07 won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-1 Paderborn 07.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.8 – 0.9 Paderborn 07. Most frequent scores: 2-0 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 56% of the simulated matches. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 18%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: the stronger side on our resultsB0strong
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: home advantage in this competitionB0strong
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedB0clear
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Why it matters: Bayer 04 Leverkusen are chasing the Champions League places.
Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Paderborn 07: preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 7 of Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Paderborn 07 have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Paderborn 07 are unbeaten in 3 matches. 5 of Paderborn 07's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
In their last 6 meetings, Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 5, 1 ended level and Paderborn 07 won 0. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in position 5 with 16 points, Paderborn 07 in position 13 with 10 points. A win could lift Bayer 04 Leverkusen as high as position 3. A win could lift Paderborn 07 as high as position 7.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Champions League places.
- A win can lift them as high as 7.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
