Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
CD Lealtad beat EI San Martin 1-0 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
In our records EI San Martin and CD Lealtad have met 2 times: EI San Martin won 0, 1 ended level and CD Lealtad won 1.
Their latest meeting (): EI San Martin 0-0 CD Lealtad.
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: CD Lealtad won 0-1.
Story
EI San Martin vs CD Lealtad: the story of the match
33' — CD Lealtad took the lead: 0-1. Half time: 0-1.
CD Lealtad won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
EI San MartinDrawCD Lealtad
Pre-match model estimate: EI San Martin 28%, draw 27%, CD Lealtad 45%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): EI San Martin win in 28% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and CD Lealtad win 45%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 50%. About 9.3 corners on average. About 5.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
