Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
About this match
Sunderland and Brentford meet on in EFL Cup.
Venue: Stadium of Light.
Referee: Gavin Ward.
In our records Sunderland and Brentford have met 6 times: Sunderland won 1, 2 ended level and Brentford won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Brentford 1-1 Sunderland.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
Scoreno
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Brentford (49%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
27%24%49%
Sunderland27%Draw24%Brentford49%
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Sunderland vs Brentford: preview
Sunderland have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Sunderland have not won in 3 matches. 2 of Sunderland's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Brentford have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Brentford have scored in 12 matches in a row. 7 of Brentford's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
In their last 6 meetings, Sunderland won 1, 2 ended level and Brentford won 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Sunderland 27%, draw 24%, Brentford 49%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
Preparing the simulation…
Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sunderland win in 27% of the simulated matches, 24% end level and Brentford win 49%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 56%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sunderland – Brentford preview
Updated:
Stadium of Light hosts Sunderland v Brentford in the EFL Cup at 19:45 on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Gavin Ward is the referee.
How they come into it
Sunderland have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Sunderland have gone 3 matches without a win. Sunderland average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last 10.
Over the last 5 matches, Brentford have collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Brentford have scored in each of their last 12 matches. 7 of Brentford's last 10 matches have had three or more goals.
Head to head
The record between them over the last 6 matches reads 1-2-3 from Sunderland's point of view. When they last met, on 5 September 2026, it ended 1-1. There have been 19 goals in the 6 meetings, 3.2 a game.
EFL Cup
United States
