Sunderland vs Leeds United: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
The match ended 0-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
Pre-match model estimate: Sunderland 35%, draw 27%, Leeds United 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Sunderland win in 35% of the simulated matches, 27% end level and Leeds United win 38%. Average goals 2.4; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 48%. About 9.7 corners on average. About 4.1 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Sunderland had 13 shots (5 on target) to Leeds United's 8 (3). Corners finished 4-5.
What it means
Sunderland remain 20th, now with 5 points. Leeds United stay 7th on 11 points. The wait for a win goes on for Leeds United: 4 matches now. Across 11 meetings in our records: 3 wins for Sunderland, 3 wins for Leeds United and 5 draws.
Coming up
Next up for Sunderland: home to Brentford on Wednesday 28 October. Leeds United's next match is away to Bournemouth on 31 October.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
