Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AD Torrejon CF beat Real Aranjuez CF 4-1 in Tercera Federacion, Group 12.
Match decisions & VAR
73'Red cardAD Torrejon CFDecision
92'Red cardAD Torrejon CFDecision
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsyes
Line-upsno
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result verified.
Full time: AD Torrejon CF won 4-1.
Story
AD Torrejon CF vs Real Aranjuez CF: the story of the match
29' — AD Torrejon CF took the lead: 1-0. 43' — AD Torrejon CF extended the lead: 2-0. Half time: 2-0.
65' — AD Torrejon CF extended the lead: 3-0. 73' — AD Torrejon CF had a player sent off. 77' — Real Aranjuez CF pulled one back: 3-1. 81' — AD Torrejon CF extended the lead: 4-1. 92' — AD Torrejon CF had a player sent off. AD Torrejon CF won 4-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
AD Torrejon CFDrawReal Aranjuez CF
Pre-match model estimate: AD Torrejon CF 57%, draw 23%, Real Aranjuez CF 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): AD Torrejon CF win in 57% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Real Aranjuez CF win 20%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 52%. About 8.9 corners on average. About 5.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 27%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
AD Torrejon CF took the lead on 29 minutes. AD Torrejon CF extended their lead to 2-0 on 43 minutes. It was AD Torrejon CF 2-0 Real Aranjuez CF at half-time.
AD Torrejon CF extended their lead to 3-0 on 65 minutes. AD Torrejon CF were a man down from the 73rd minute. Just 4 minutes later (77') Real Aranjuez CF pulled one back to make it 3-1. AD Torrejon CF extended their lead to 4-1 on 81 minutes. AD Torrejon CF had a player sent off on 92 minutes.
Match statistics
AD Torrejon CF won 5 corners, Real Aranjuez CF 2.
What it means
AD Torrejon CF ended Real Aranjuez CF's unbeaten run of 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Tercera Federacion, Group 12
