St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum (2. Bundesliga) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
Germany
2. Bundesliga Round 12
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (9%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Absentees
St. Pauli
- LO
Louis OppieSuspended
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- St. PauliLLDDWNo win in 4 matches
- VfL BochumWWWDLUnbeaten in 4 matches
- BundesligaSt. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
- BundesligaVfL Bochum1 - 0St. Pauli
- 2. BundesligaSt. Pauli2 - 3VfL Bochum
- Per match
- Corners won5.2·4.7
- Yellow cards2.6·2.2
2. Bundesliga
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Greuther Furth | 11 | -6 | 12 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
St. Pauli and VfL Bochum meet on in 2. Bundesliga.
Venue: Millerntor-Stadion.
In our records St. Pauli and VfL Bochum have met 10 times: St. Pauli won 3, 3 ended level and VfL Bochum won 4.
Their latest meeting (): St. Pauli 0-2 VfL Bochum.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals St. Pauli 1.6 – 1.2 VfL Bochum. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 56% of the simulated matches. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- VfL Bochum: the stronger side on our resultsVBstrong
- St. Pauli: home advantage in this competitionSPstrong
- Missing players taken into account: St. Pauli 1, VfL Bochum 0VBslight
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards St. Pauli.
Preview
St. Pauli vs VfL Bochum: preview
St. Pauli have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. St. Pauli have not won in 4 matches. 4 of St. Pauli's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. VfL Bochum have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. VfL Bochum are unbeaten in 4 matches. 5 of VfL Bochum's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 10 meetings, St. Pauli won 3, 3 ended level and VfL Bochum won 4. St. Pauli are in position 9 with 12 points, VfL Bochum in position 8 with 14 points. A win could lift St. Pauli as high as position 8. A win could lift VfL Bochum as high as position 6.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 8.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 11.
- A win can lift them as high as 6.
- A defeat drops them to 9.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
