7' — VfL Bochum took the lead: 1-0. Christian Rasmussen scored it. 8' — Karlsruher equalised: 1-1. Kevin Wiethaup scored it. Half time: 1-1.
51' — Karlsruher completed the turnaround: 1-2. Tim Civeja scored it. 53' — VfL Bochum equalised: 2-2. Philipp Hofmann scored it. 90' — VfL Bochum completed the turnaround: 3-2. Philipp Hofmann scored it. It came in the closing minutes. VfL Bochum won 3-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
VfL BochumDrawKarlsruher
Pre-match model estimate: VfL Bochum 56%, draw 22%, Karlsruher 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): VfL Bochum win in 56% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Karlsruher win 22%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 59%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Christian Rasmussen opened the scoring for VfL Bochum after 7 minutes. Karlsruher drew level at 1-1 in the 8th minute: Kevin Wiethaup. It was VfL Bochum 1-1 Karlsruher at half-time.
Karlsruher completed the turnaround at 2-1 on 51 minutes thanks to Tim Civeja. VfL Bochum drew level at 2-2 in the 53rd minute: Philipp Hofmann. VfL Bochum completed the turnaround at 3-2 on 90 minutes thanks to Philipp Hofmann.
What the numbers say
The shot count read 14-5, 7-2 on target. Karlsruher's goalkeeper made 5 saves.
The bigger picture
VfL Bochum climb from 11th to 8th on 14 points. Karlsruher slip to 16th (11 points), having started the day 13th. VfL Bochum are now unbeaten in 4 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
