VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
Germany
2. Bundesliga Round 12
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 2-1 (9%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Absentees
VfL Wolfsburg
- CL
CleitonSuspended
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- VfL WolfsburgWLWLDScored in 9 matches in a row
- Holstein KielWLLDW
- DFB PokalVfL Wolfsburg0 - 1Holstein Kiel
- BundesligaVfL Wolfsburg2 - 2Holstein Kiel
- BundesligaHolstein Kiel0 - 2VfL Wolfsburg
- Per match
- Corners won5.0·4.3
- Yellow cards2.5·2.8
2. Bundesliga
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.FC Magdeburg | 11 | +11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | +10 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 17 | Darmstadt 98 | 11 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | -3 | 8 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel meet on in 2. Bundesliga.
Venue: Volkswagen Arena.
In our records VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel have met 5 times: VfL Wolfsburg won 3, 1 ended level and Holstein Kiel won 1.
Their latest meeting (): VfL Wolfsburg 0-1 Holstein Kiel.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals VfL Wolfsburg 2.2 – 1.3 Holstein Kiel. Most frequent scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Both teams score in 64% of the simulated matches. About 10.8 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 13%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- VfL Wolfsburg: the stronger side on our resultsVWstrong
- VfL Wolfsburg: home advantage in this competitionVWstrong
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards VfL Wolfsburg.
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Holstein Kiel.
Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel: preview
VfL Wolfsburg have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. VfL Wolfsburg have scored in 9 matches in a row. 6 of VfL Wolfsburg's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Holstein Kiel have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Holstein Kiel's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
In their last 5 meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 3, 1 ended level and Holstein Kiel won 1. VfL Wolfsburg are in position 5 with 19 points, Holstein Kiel in position 18 with 8 points. A win could lift VfL Wolfsburg as high as position 3. A win could lift Holstein Kiel as high as position 12.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Promotion play-off places.
- A win can lift them out of the danger zone (Relegation).
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
