Marseille vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kick-off time: 22 Nov 2026
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 2-0 (11%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 matches · Recent meetings
More- Olympique de MarseilleWWWWL4 wins in a row
- Le MansDLDLLNo win in 6 matches
No recorded meeting between them
- Per match
- Corners won4.6·3.4
- Yellow cards1.9·3.3
Ligue 1
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | -10 | 8 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Olympique de Marseille and Le Mans meet on in Ligue 1.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Olympique de Marseille 2.1 – 0.8 Le Mans. Most frequent scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Both teams score in 50% of the simulated matches.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Olympique de Marseille: the stronger side on our resultsOMstrong
- Olympique de Marseille: home advantage in this competitionOMstrong
- Olympique de Marseille: plays in a continental competition this season; such teams have done a little better in their other matches than our model expectedOMstrong
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Olympique de Marseille.
Preview
Olympique de Marseille vs Le Mans: preview
Olympique de Marseille have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Olympique de Marseille have won 4 matches in a row. 4 of Olympique de Marseille's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4. Le Mans have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Le Mans have not won in 6 matches. 6 of Le Mans's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.

