46' — Toulouse took the lead: 0-1. Jacen Russell-Rowe scored it. 59' — Toulouse extended the lead: 0-2. Aron Donnum scored it. 87' — Toulouse extended the lead: 0-3. Casper Tengstedt scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Toulouse won 0-3. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Le MansDrawToulouse
Pre-match model estimate: Le Mans 34%, draw 28%, Toulouse 38%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
A 3-0 rout: Toulouse swept Le Mans aside at Stade Marie-Marvingt. It was 0-0 at half-time.
Key moments
It was Le Mans 0-0 Toulouse at half-time.
Toulouse took the lead on 46 minutes thanks to Jacen Russell-Rowe, set up by Aron Donnum. Toulouse extended their lead to 2-0 on 59 minutes thanks to Aron Donnum. Late on, in the 87th minute, Toulouse extended their lead to 3-0 through Casper Tengstedt, set up by Cristian Cásseres Jr..
Match statistics
On target it was 1-5, from 4 and 6 attempts respectively. Dangerous attacks: 51 for Le Mans, 32 for Toulouse.
The bigger picture
Le Mans' run of 7 matches with a goal comes to an end. Toulouse have now scored in 5 consecutive matches. Toulouse beat Le Mans for the first time since 2010.
What’s next
Next up for Le Mans: home to AS Monaco on Sunday 8 November. Toulouse's next match is at home against Strasbourg Alsace on 6 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Ligue 1
