Le Mans vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kick-off time: 08/11/2026 16:15
France
Ligue 1 Round 10
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- Le MansLDLLLNo win in 5 matches
- AS MonacoLDWLWScored in 3 matches in a row
Recent meetings
More- Ligue 2AS Monaco2 - 1Le Mans
- Ligue 2Le Mans2 - 3AS Monaco
- Ligue 2Le Mans0 - 1AS Monaco
Ligue 1
MoreLine-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Le Mans and AS Monaco meet on in Ligue 1.
Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt.
In our records Le Mans and AS Monaco have met 10 times: Le Mans won 1, 3 ended level and AS Monaco won 6.
Their latest meeting (): AS Monaco 2-1 Le Mans.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards AS Monaco (53%).
Why it matters: A relegation battle for Le Mans.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Le Mans vs AS Monaco: preview
Le Mans have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Le Mans have not won in 5 matches. 7 of Le Mans's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 8. AS Monaco have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. AS Monaco have scored in 3 matches in a row. 6 of AS Monaco's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 10 meetings, Le Mans won 1, 3 ended level and AS Monaco won 6. Le Mans are in position 17 with 7 points, AS Monaco in position 7 with 15 points. A win could lift Le Mans as high as position 11. A win could lift AS Monaco as high as position 2.
Our pre-match model estimate: Le Mans 25%, draw 22%, AS Monaco 53%.
Table by result
- A win can lift them out of the danger zone (Relegation).
- A win can take them into the Champions League places.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Le Mans win in 25% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and AS Monaco win 53%. Average goals 3.1; the most likely score is 1-1 (10%); both teams score in 60%. About 8.8 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
