Northampton Town vs Rochdale (League Two) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
England
League Two Round 16
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (11%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Northampton TownDLLLDNo win in 5 matches
- RochdaleLWLLL
- League TwoRochdale1 - 1Northampton Town
- League TwoNorthampton Town3 - 0Rochdale
- League TwoRochdale1 - 0Northampton Town
- Per match
- Corners won5.3·4.5
- Yellow cards1.7·1.5
League Two
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 | Northampton Town | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 20 | Oldham Athletic | 15 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Colchester United | 14 | -5 | 15 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 23 | Rotherham United | 14 | -7 | 12 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Northampton Town and Rochdale meet on in League Two.
Venue: Sixfields Stadium.
In our records Northampton Town and Rochdale have met 10 times: Northampton Town won 1, 5 ended level and Rochdale won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Rochdale 1-1 Northampton Town.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Northampton Town 1.7 – 1.0 Rochdale. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Both teams score in 51% of the simulated matches. About 9.6 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Northampton Town: the stronger side on our resultsNTstrong
- Northampton Town: home advantage in this competitionNTstrong
Also considered
- Northampton Town: 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Northampton Town.
Preview
Northampton Town vs Rochdale: preview
Northampton Town have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Northampton Town have not won in 5 matches. 3 of Northampton Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 5. Rochdale have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 7 of Rochdale's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6.
In their last 10 meetings, Northampton Town won 1, 5 ended level and Rochdale won 4. Northampton Town are in position 19 with 15 points, Rochdale in position 22 with 15 points. A win could lift Northampton Town as high as position 17. A win could lift Rochdale as high as position 17.
Table by result
- A win can lift them as high as 17.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 22.
- A win can lift them as high as 17.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
