Northampton Town vs Oldham Athletic: the story of the match
Half time: 0-0.
70' — Oldham Athletic took the lead: 0-1. Oliver Norburn scored it. Oldham Athletic won 0-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Northampton TownDrawOldham Athletic
Pre-match model estimate: Northampton Town 40%, draw 28%, Oldham Athletic 32%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Northampton Town win in 40% of the simulated matches, 28% end level and Oldham Athletic win 32%. Average goals 2.3; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 10.1 corners on average. About 4.0 yellow cards on average; a red card in 23%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Oldham Athletic kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win over Northampton Town in the League 2. It was 0-0 at half-time. The attendance at Sixfields Stadium was 5,098.
Key moments
Half-time: 0-0 between Northampton Town and Oldham Athletic.
Oldham Athletic took the lead on 70 minutes thanks to Oliver Norburn.
Match statistics
The shot count read 7-5, 4-2 on target.
What it means
Northampton Town slip to 21st (14 points), having started the day 20th. Oldham Athletic climb from 21st to 18th on 15 points. A 3-game wait for victory is over for Oldham Athletic.
Next fixtures
Northampton Town's next match is away to York City FC on 7 November. Oldham Athletic host Sheffield Wednesday next, on 8 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
