Newport County vs Swindon Town (League Two) kick-off time: 21 Nov 2026
England
League Two Round 16
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (10%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Absentees
Swindon Town
- DB
Dan ButlerSuspended
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- Newport CountyDWLWLScored in 4 matches in a row
- Swindon TownLLLWDScored in 4 matches in a row
- EFL TrophySwindon Town0 - 2Newport County
- League TwoSwindon Town2 - 0Newport County
- League TwoNewport County0 - 1Swindon Town
- Per match
- Corners won4.7·4.3
- Yellow cards1.3·1.5
League Two
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Accrington Stanley | 15 | +4 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 15 | +3 | 19 |
| 15 | Tranmere Rovers | 15 | +1 | 19 |
| 16 | Swindon Town | 15 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 13 | -2 | 18 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Newport County and Swindon Town meet on in League Two.
Venue: Rodney Parade.
In our records Newport County and Swindon Town have met 5 times: Newport County won 1, 0 ended level and Swindon Town won 4.
Their latest meeting (): Swindon Town 0-2 Newport County.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Newport County 1.7 – 1.1 Swindon Town. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Both teams score in 55% of the simulated matches. About 9.3 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 20%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Newport County: the stronger side on our resultsNCslight
- Newport County: home advantage in this competitionNCstrong
Also considered
- Swindon Town: 3 matches in the last 14 days (busy schedule)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Newport County.
Why it matters: Newport County are chasing the Promotion play-off places.
Preview
Newport County vs Swindon Town: preview
Newport County have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Newport County have scored in 4 matches in a row. 6 of Newport County's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7. Swindon Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Swindon Town have scored in 4 matches in a row. 5 of Swindon Town's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 5 meetings, Newport County won 1, 0 ended level and Swindon Town won 4. Newport County are in position 14 with 19 points, Swindon Town in position 16 with 19 points. A win could lift Newport County as high as position 6. A win could lift Swindon Town as high as position 6.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Promotion play-off places.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 16.
- A win can take them into the Promotion play-off places.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
