Denmark vs Norway kick-off time and TV channel: 17 Nov 2026
Europe
UEFA Nations League Round 6
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 2-1 (9%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- DenmarkWWLWLScored in 6 matches in a row
- NorwayWLLLWScored in 14 matches in a row
- UEFA Nations LeagueNorway3 - 2Denmark
UEFA Nations League
MoreWhat channel is the match on?
United StatesFS1
Broadcast info: broadcaster listings
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Denmark and Norway meet on in UEFA Nations League.
Venue: Parken Stadium.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Denmark 1.7 – 1.6 Norway. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Both teams score in 64% of the simulated matches. About 10.0 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- Norway: the stronger side on our resultsNOstrong
- Denmark: home advantage in this competitionDEstrong
Also considered
- Denmark: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
- Norway: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Why it matters: A win could put Denmark top of the table.
Preview
Denmark vs Norway: preview
Denmark have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches. Denmark have scored in 6 matches in a row. 7 of Denmark's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 6. Norway have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Norway have scored in 14 matches in a row. 10 of Norway's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 10.
Denmark are in position 2 with 9 points, Norway in position 3 with 6 points. A win could lift Denmark as high as position 1. A win could lift Norway as high as position 2.
Table by result
- A win can take them top.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 3.
- A win can lift them as high as 2.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
