Norway vs Wales (UEFA Nations League) kick-off time: 14/11/2026 17:00
Europe
UEFA Nations League Round 5
Match info
Last 5 matches
More- NorwayLLLWLScored in 12 matches in a row
- WalesLWLLL
Recent meetings
More- UEFA Nations LeagueWales2 - 1Norway
- International FriendliesWales4 - 1Norway
- UEFA EuroNorway0 - 0Wales
UEFA Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Norway and Wales meet on in UEFA Nations League.
Venue: Ullevaal Stadion.
In our records Norway and Wales have met 4 times: Norway won 0, 1 ended level and Wales won 3.
Their latest meeting (): Wales 2-1 Norway.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Norway (76%).
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Norway vs Wales: preview
Norway have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Norway have scored in 12 matches in a row. 10 of Norway's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 10. Wales have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Wales's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
In their last 4 meetings, Norway won 0, 1 ended level and Wales won 3.
Our pre-match model estimate: Norway 76%, draw 15%, Wales 9%.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Norway win in 76% of the simulated matches, 15% end level and Wales win 9%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (12%); both teams score in 49%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
