Ukraine vs Georgia (UEFA Nations League) kick-off time: 17 Nov 2026
Europe
UEFA Nations League Round 6
ScoreMondo estimate
MoreMost likely score: 1-0 (12%)
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Last 5 · Recent meetings
More- UkraineLLLDWNo win in 4 matches
- GeorgiaLDLDLNo win in 5 matches
- UEFA Nations LeagueGeorgia0 - 0Ukraine
- UEFA Nations LeagueGeorgia1 - 1Ukraine
- UEFA Nations LeagueUkraine1 - 0Georgia
UEFA Nations League
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 5 | -4 | 2 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Ukraine and Georgia meet on in UEFA Nations League.
Venue: Košická futbalová aréna (KFA).
In our records Ukraine and Georgia have met 3 times: Ukraine won 1, 2 ended level and Georgia won 0.
Their latest meeting (): Georgia 0-0 Ukraine.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsOne of the ScoreMondo model’s 20,000 simulations — an estimate, not a result.
90 minutes play in about half a minute.
Model simulation (20,000 runs): expected goals Ukraine 1.3 – 1.0 Georgia. Most frequent scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 47% of the simulated matches. About 9.8 corners on average. About 3.7 yellow cards on average; a red card in 22%.
Why this prediction?
Our model’s view: how much each factor shifts the balance between the two teams’ chances of winning.
- On our results the two teams are close in strengthbalanced
- Ukraine: home advantage in this competitionUKclear
Also considered
- Ukraine: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
- Georgia: last match 3 days ago (short rest)
In our past matches these circumstances did not measurably improve the prediction, so they do not change the percentages.
The percentages shown also take the public pre-match consensus into account; the factors above are our model’s own. How the factors work →
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Ukraine.
Preview
Ukraine vs Georgia: preview
Ukraine have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Ukraine have not won in 4 matches. 4 of Ukraine's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Georgia have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Georgia have not won in 5 matches. 2 of Georgia's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3.
In their last 3 meetings, Ukraine won 1, 2 ended level and Georgia won 0. Ukraine are in position 3 with 4 points, Georgia in position 4 with 2 points. A win could lift Georgia as high as position 3.
Table by result
- A defeat drops them to 4.
- A win lifts them to 3.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
