Pressure minute by minute, from goals and corners.
About this match
AD Marco 09 beat CD Trofense 2-0 in Liga 3, Group B.
In our records CD Trofense and AD Marco 09 have met 2 times: CD Trofense won 0, 1 ended level and AD Marco 09 won 1.
Their latest meeting (): CD Trofense 0-1 AD Marco 09.
Match details
Coaches
Cristiano Brito · Milton Mendes
Match decisions & VAR
No verified referee decision in this match.
Verified decisions only: VAR reviews, disallowed goals, penalties and red cards.
CD Trofense
M. Balde
J. Oliveira
Lucca Carvalho
T. Silva
T. Oliveira
Matheus Claudino
S. Ufala
Nuninho
P. Teixeira
Juninho
Weliton
AD Marco 09
Ze Couto
Erivaldo
Chicao
R. Barrett
J. Guerrero
P. Pedro
F. Fernandes
Lucas Henrique
L. Garro
Ka
P. Ribeiro
Match analysis
Finished
Scoreyes
Statisticsno
Line-upsyes
Pitch animationno
Pressure datano
Model estimateyes
Result awaiting verification.
Full time: AD Marco 09 won 0-2.
Story
CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: the story of the match
34' — AD Marco 09 took the lead: 0-1. Ka scored it. Half time: 0-1.
65' — AD Marco 09 extended the lead: 0-2. P. Pedro scored it. AD Marco 09 won 0-2.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
CD TrofenseDrawAD Marco 09
Pre-match model estimate: CD Trofense 31%, draw 29%, AD Marco 09 40%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): CD Trofense win in 31% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and AD Marco 09 win 40%. Average goals 2.1; the most likely score is 0-1 (14%); both teams score in 42%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Liga 3, Group B
