52' — Coventry City took the lead: 0-1. Yann Gboho scored it. 56' — Everton equalised: 1-1. Thierno Barry scored it. 61' — Everton completed the turnaround: 2-1. Thierno Barry scored it. 81' — Everton extended the lead: 3-1. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall scored it. Everton won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
EvertonDrawCoventry City
Pre-match model estimate: Everton 58%, draw 22%, Coventry City 20%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Everton win in 58% of the simulated matches, 22% end level and Coventry City win 20%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 1-0 (11%); both teams score in 53%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 24%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
The officials disallowed a Everton goal on 13 minutes. Half-time: 0-0 between Everton and Coventry City.
Yann Gboho opened the scoring for Coventry City after 52 minutes. Thierno Barry equalised for Everton at 1-1 after 56 minutes, set up by Vitaliy Mykolenko. Everton completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 61st minute: Thierno Barry. A Everton goal stood after a VAR check in the 62nd minute. Everton extended their lead to 3-1 on 81 minutes thanks to Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, set up by Thierno Barry.
Match statistics
The shot count read 11-8, 7-4 on target.
What it means
Everton climb from 7th to 6th on 16 points. Coventry City slip to 17th (9 points), having started the day 16th. Everton beat Coventry City for the first time since 2001.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premier League
