Atletico CP vs UD Santarem: the story of the match
8' — Atletico CP took the lead: 1-0. C. Sousa scored it. 38' — Atletico CP extended the lead: 2-0. S. Traore scored it. 44' — Atletico CP extended the lead: 3-0. S. Traore scored it. Half time: 3-0.
78' — UD Santarem pulled one back: 3-1. G. Isnaba scored it. Atletico CP won 3-1.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Atletico CPDrawUD Santarem
Pre-match model estimate: Atletico CP 53%, draw 25%, UD Santarem 22%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Atletico CP win in 53% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and UD Santarem win 22%. Average goals 2.5; the most likely score is 1-0 (13%); both teams score in 47%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Atletico CP took the lead on 8 minutes thanks to C. Sousa. S. Traore made it 2-0 for Atletico CP after 38 minutes, set up by C. Santana. Just 6 minutes later (44') Atletico CP extended their lead to 3-0, S. Traore on target, set up by C. Sousa. Half-time: 3-0, Atletico CP in front.
G. Isnaba reduced the deficit for UD Santarem to 3-1 after 78 minutes, set up by Maya.
The statistics
On target it was 1-8, from 1 and 16 attempts respectively. Atletico CP won 2 corners, UD Santarem 5. 8 saves came from the Atletico CP goalkeeper. UD Santarem produced 169 dangerous attacks to Atletico CP's 65.
What the result means
Atletico CP extend their unbeaten run to 5 matches. UD Santarem have now scored in 6 consecutive matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Liga 3, Group B
