Paris (Wom) vs Montpellier (Wom): the story of the match
33' — Paris (Wom) took the lead: 1-0. Sheika Scott scored it. 44' — Paris (Wom) extended the lead: 2-0. Aurélie Reynders scored it. Half time: 2-0.
48' — Paris (Wom) extended the lead: 3-0. Hawa Sangare scored it. 69' — Paris (Wom) extended the lead: 4-0. Océane Picard scored from the penalty spot. 90' — Paris (Wom) extended the lead: 5-0. Thea Greboval scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Paris (Wom) won 5-0. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Paris (Wom)DrawMontpellier (Wom)
Pre-match model estimate: Paris (Wom) 79%, draw 14%, Montpellier (Wom) 7%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Paris (Wom) win in 79% of the simulated matches, 14% end level and Montpellier (Wom) win 7%. Average goals 3.2; the most likely score is 2-0 (14%); both teams score in 43%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Paris (Wom) took the lead in the 33rd minute: Sheika Scott. Paris (Wom) extended their lead to 2-0 on 44 minutes thanks to Aurélie Reynders. It was Paris (Wom) 2-0 Montpellier (Wom) at half-time.
Paris (Wom) extended their lead to 3-0 on 48 minutes thanks to Hawa Sangare. Paris (Wom) extended their lead to 4-0 in the 69th minute: Océane Picard from the penalty spot. Paris (Wom) extended their lead to 5-0 in the 90th minute: Thea Greboval.
The statistics
Paris (Wom) won 9 corners, Montpellier (Wom) 5.
The bigger picture
Paris (Wom) stay 3rd on 16 points. Montpellier (Wom) drop from 8th to 9th on 6 points. Paris (Wom) extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches. Montpellier (Wom) have now gone 7 matches without a win.
What’s next
Next up for Paris (Wom): away at Real Madrid (Wom) on Tuesday 10 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Premiere Ligue, Women
