Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall: the story of the match
41' — Blackburn Rovers took the lead: 1-0. O. Afolayan scored it. Half time: 1-0.
51' — Millwall equalised: 1-1. L. Dykes scored from the penalty spot. 58' — Blackburn Rovers went back in front: 2-1. O. Afolayan scored it. 90' — Blackburn Rovers extended the lead: 3-1. A. Gudjohnsen scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Blackburn Rovers won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
Pre-match model estimate: Blackburn Rovers 34%, draw 29%, Millwall 37%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Blackburn Rovers took the lead on 41 minutes thanks to O. Afolayan, set up by S. Morsy. Blackburn Rovers led 1-0 at the break.
Millwall drew level at 1-1 in the 51st minute: L. Dykes from the penalty spot. Blackburn Rovers went 2-1 up in the 58th minute: O. Afolayan, set up by T. Atcheson. Blackburn Rovers extended their lead to 3-1 in the 90th minute: A. Gudjohnsen, set up by J. Fevrier.
What the result means
Blackburn Rovers end a run of 5 matches without a win.
Coming up
Blackburn Rovers' next match is at home against Stoke City on 3 November. Millwall visit Birmingham City next, on 3 November in the English League Championship.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English League Championship
