Palermo vs LR Vicenza Virtus: the story of the match
2' — LR Vicenza Virtus took the lead: 0-1. Niccolò Brighenti scored it. 45' — Palermo equalised: 1-1. Dennis Johnsen scored it. Half time: 1-1.
53' — Palermo completed the turnaround: 2-1. Dominic Vavassori scored it. 85' — Palermo extended the lead: 3-1. Dominic Vavassori scored it. It came in the closing minutes. Palermo won 3-1. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
PalermoDrawLR Vicenza Virtus
Pre-match model estimate: Palermo 69%, draw 18%, LR Vicenza Virtus 13%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Palermo win in 69% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and LR Vicenza Virtus win 13%. Average goals 3.3; the most likely score is 2-0 (11%); both teams score in 55%. About 9.2 corners on average. About 3.8 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
LR Vicenza Virtus took the lead in the 2nd minute: Niccolò Brighenti. The officials disallowed a Palermo goal on 38 minutes. Dennis Johnsen equalised for Palermo at 1-1 after 45 minutes. Half-time: 1-1 between Palermo and LR Vicenza Virtus.
Palermo completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 53rd minute: Dominic Vavassori. Late on, in the 85th minute, Palermo extended their lead to 3-1 through Dominic Vavassori.
The statistics
Corners finished 4-4.
The bigger picture
Palermo are now unbeaten in 11 matches. LR Vicenza Virtus have now scored in 4 consecutive matches. Palermo beat LR Vicenza Virtus for the first time since 2004.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
Serie B
