Birmingham City vs Millwall: the story of the match
1' — Birmingham City took the lead: 1-0. Alex Cochrane scored it. 16' — Birmingham City extended the lead: 2-0. Max Bird scored it. 29' — Birmingham City extended the lead: 3-0. Jay Stansfield scored it. Half time: 3-0.
Birmingham City won 3-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
Pre-match model estimate: Birmingham City 53%, draw 23%, Millwall 24%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Birmingham City win in 53% of the simulated matches, 23% end level and Millwall win 24%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (11%); both teams score in 54%. About 10.0 corners on average. About 4.2 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Birmingham City took the lead in the 1st minute: Alex Cochrane. Birmingham City extended their lead to 2-0 in the 16th minute: Max Bird, set up by Jhon Solís. Jay Stansfield made it 3-0 for Birmingham City after 29 minutes, set up by Max Bird. Half-time: 3-0, Birmingham City in front.
Match statistics
On target it was 8-3, from 11 and 8 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-2.
What the result means
Birmingham City climb from 6th to 3rd on 26 points. Millwall slip to 13th (18 points), having started the day 12th. Millwall's run of 3 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Next fixtures
Next up for Birmingham City: home to Swansea City on Saturday 7 November. Millwall's next match is away to West Bromwich Albion on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
English League Championship
