1' — J. Sastre of APOEL was sent off. 36' — V. De Marco of Omonia Aradippou was sent off. Half time: 0-0.
72' — Omonia Aradippou took the lead: 1-0. B. Petrovic scored it. 77' — APOEL equalised: 1-1. A. Bakasetas scored it. 89' — APOEL completed the turnaround: 1-2. A. Bakasetas scored it. It came in the closing minutes. APOEL won 1-2. The decisive goal came in the closing minutes.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
Omonia AradippouDrawAPOEL
Pre-match model estimate: Omonia Aradippou 11%, draw 18%, APOEL 71%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Omonia Aradippou win in 11% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and APOEL win 71%. Average goals 2.9; the most likely score is 0-2 (13%); both teams score in 46%. About 9.4 corners on average. About 4.5 yellow cards on average; a red card in 16%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
APOEL had a player sent off on 1 minutes: J. Sastre. Omonia Aradippou had a goal ruled out in the 22nd minute. Omonia Aradippou were a man down from the 36th minute, when V. De Marco was sent off for a second yellow card. It was Omonia Aradippou 0-0 APOEL at half-time.
Omonia Aradippou took the lead on 72 minutes thanks to B. Petrovic. Just 5 minutes later (77') APOEL drew level at 1-1, A. Bakasetas on target. APOEL completed the turnaround at 2-1 in the 89th minute: A. Bakasetas.
Match statistics
Omonia Aradippou had 8 shots (6 on target) to APOEL's 7 (6). Omonia Aradippou won 6 corners, APOEL 3.
What it means
APOEL extend their unbeaten run to 6 matches.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
