Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart: the story of the match
12' — Galatasaray took the lead: 1-0. Alexey Batrakov scored it. 15' — Galatasaray extended the lead: 2-0. Alexey Batrakov scored it. Half time: 2-0.
Galatasaray won 2-0.
Chances to win
Model estimate
FT
Start45'90'
GalatasarayDrawVfB Stuttgart
Pre-match model estimate: Galatasaray 21%, draw 18%, VfB Stuttgart 61%.
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Who is pressing?
No detailed data in this league — the pressure index is not guessed.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulations
What the pre-match simulation said
Preparing the simulation…
Before kick-off: Model simulation (20,000 runs): Galatasaray win in 21% of the simulated matches, 18% end level and VfB Stuttgart win 61%. Average goals 4.1; the most likely score is 1-2 (8%); both teams score in 71%. About 10.2 corners on average. About 4.3 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
Previous meetings and form
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
Alexey Batrakov opened the scoring for Galatasaray after 12 minutes. Galatasaray extended their lead to 2-0 on 15 minutes thanks to Alexey Batrakov, set up by Davinson Sánchez. It was Galatasaray 2-0 VfB Stuttgart at half-time.
The officials disallowed a VfB Stuttgart goal on 77 minutes.
Match statistics
On target it was 4-4, from 6 and 5 attempts respectively. Corners finished 6-4.
What it means
Galatasaray climb from 23rd to 18th on 6 points. VfB Stuttgart slip to 14th (7 points), having started the day 6th. That is 5 straight wins for Galatasaray. VfB Stuttgart's run of 4 matches with a goal comes to an end.
Next fixtures
Galatasaray's next match is at home against Amedspor SK on 7 November. VfB Stuttgart host Werder Bremen next, on 7 November.
This text is written automatically from our match data; every number and name in it comes from that data.
