Lecce vs Genoa, 01/11/2026 17:00 – live score
Italy
Serie A Round 10
Match info
What channel is the match on?
United StatesParamount+
Broadcast info: broadcaster listings
Last 5 matches
More- LecceLWLLW
- GenoaWLWLL
Recent meetings
More- Serie ALecce1 - 0Genoa
Serie A
MoreLine-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Lecce and Genoa meet on in Serie A.
Venue: Via Del Mare.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model sees the two sides as close.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Lecce vs Genoa: preview
Lecce have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 5 of Lecce's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 2. Genoa have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. 3 of Genoa's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 4.
Lecce are in position 12 with 9 points, Genoa in position 16 with 7 points. A win could lift Lecce as high as position 10. A win could lift Genoa as high as position 11.
Our pre-match model estimate: Lecce 36%, draw 29%, Genoa 35%.
Table by result
- A win lifts them to 10.
- A defeat drops them to 13.
- A win can lift them as high as 11.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Lecce win in 36% of the simulated matches, 29% end level and Genoa win 35%. Average goals 2.2; the most likely score is 1-1 (13%); both teams score in 45%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 3.6 yellow cards on average; a red card in 17%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
