Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad, 01/11/2026 20:00 – live score
Spain
LaLiga Round 11
Match info
What channel is the match on?
United StatesESPN Deportes · ESPN+
Broadcast info: broadcaster listings
Last 5 matches
More- Athletic BilbaoWLDWD
- Real SociedadWWWDWUnbeaten in 5 matches
Recent meetings
More- Friendlies ClubsReal Sociedad0 - 1Athletic Bilbao
La Liga
More| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Deportivo Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta de Vigo | 10 | +3 | 12 |
Line-ups
Line-ups not announced yetOfficial line-ups usually come about an hour before kick-off.
Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad meet on in LaLiga.
Venue: San Mamés.
Pre-match analysis
Not started
- Scoreno
- Statisticsno
- Line-upsyes
- Pitch animationno
- Pressure datano
- Model estimateyes
Before kick-off the model leans towards Athletic Bilbao (45%).
Why it matters: Athletic Bilbao are chasing the Conference League places.
Chances to win
Model estimate
How is this calculated?
This is our own statistical model: before kick-off, each team's strength comes from a global team rating built on our results — every league and cup on one scale, linked through European and other cross-league matches — blended with the league's own results when both teams play in it. During the match it is updated with the minute, the score, red cards and the last 15 minutes of pressure (a Poisson goal model with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores). Without enough data on both teams we show no percentages. It is a probability, not a certainty.
Preview
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: preview
Athletic Bilbao have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. 4 of Athletic Bilbao's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 3. Real Sociedad have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches. Real Sociedad are unbeaten in 5 matches. 8 of Real Sociedad's last 10 matches had 3 or more goals, and both sides scored in 7.
Athletic Bilbao are in position 8 with 12 points, Real Sociedad in position 5 with 19 points. A win could lift Athletic Bilbao as high as position 7. A win could lift Real Sociedad as high as position 4.
Our pre-match model estimate: Athletic Bilbao 45%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 30%.
Table by result
- A win can take them into the Conference League places.
- A defeat can drop them as low as 10.
- A win lifts them to 4.
Some teams are level on points: goal difference decides (head-to-head in some leagues), so the order may change.
Worked out from the pre-match table and the live scores in the league.
Match simulation
Model estimate · 20,000 simulationsModel simulation (20,000 runs): Athletic Bilbao win in 45% of the simulated matches, 25% end level and Real Sociedad win 30%. Average goals 2.8; the most likely score is 1-1 (12%); both teams score in 56%. About 9.5 corners on average. About 4.4 yellow cards on average; a red card in 26%.
The percentages in this tab are estimates of the ScoreMondo statistical model, not certainties.
